Stand: 02.12.2022 14:50 Uhr von Tageschau.de
The number of old people in Germany continues to grow. In a good ten years, the number of pensioners will increase significantly. This is the result of expert calculations that look into the year 2070.
In the coming decades, an increasingly aging society will live in Germany. The Federal Statistical Office comes to this forecast in its so-called coordinated population projection, which is based on the assessments of a group of experts.
The future models of the calculation are based on the population figures as of December 31, 2021 and contain several scenarios with different developments, for example the birth rate or immigration to Germany.
Average age has already increased
Some of the forecasts by the Federal Statistical Office extend over 50 years up to the year 2070. At the end of last year, around 83.2 million people lived in Germany. According to the Federal Statistical Office, the average age of the population was 45 years. For comparison: In 1990, the nationwide average age was still 39 years. At that time, the so-called baby boom generation between the ages of 20 and 35 formed the largest population group. Baby boomers refer to the baby boomers born between 1955 and 1970.
Even today, the baby boomers form the largest age group in the population, meanwhile “of older working age”. From the mid-2030s, these cohorts will then move up to the age group of 80 and over, according to the forecast. The forecast also assumes that at least 20 million people in Germany will be 67 years or older by this time – around four million more than at present. Between 1990 and 2021, the number of people aged 70 and over living in Germany rose from 8.0 million to 13.5 million.
From the mid-2030s, the number of residents aged 80 and over who are considered to be very old will continue to increase: In the 2050s and 2060s, it could rise from the current six million to seven to ten million people.